What is another word for conditional expectation?

Synonyms for conditional expectation
con·di·tion·al ex·pec·ta·tion

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condiment, condiments, condition, conditional, conditional contract, conditional expectation, conditional probability, conditional reaction, conditional reflex, conditional relation, conditional response

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Which of the following words is not a synonym of the others?
A chancy
B dicey
C certain
D iffy